Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal

Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough.  It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs.

Dean Del Mastro convicted

Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election.  Its Conservative MP for the last decade has been the odious Dean Del who was found guilty last year of electoral corruption and tampering wiht documents and sent to prison.

In the last election, Delmastro was elected quite easily with 47% of the vote, followed by the Liberal with 32% and the NDP with 14%.

Two polls have been conducted in the riding since the writ was dropped:

• Forum Research (September 24): Con (34%), NDP (24%), Lib (37%) and Green (4%) 
• Nanos Research (August 26, 2015): Con (29%), NDP (27%), Lib (41%),  Green (4%)

Both these polls and its history suggest that strategic voters should support the Liberals.

Update.  More polls confirm the call. From wikipedia summary of local election polls:

See Votetogether.ca's page to confirm that strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha should vote Liberal.

Some recent posts:

• Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
• Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in North Okanagan—Shuswap: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Cowichan—Malahat—Langford: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Burnaby North—Seymour: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Brantford-Brant: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Essex: vote NDP

For an overview of strategic voting posts, see here.

Votetogether.ca's recommendations:

• Strategic voting in Calgary Centre: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Calgary Confederation: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Cowichan—Malahat—Langford: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Elmwood—Transcona: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Eglinton—Lawrence: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Etobicoke—Lakeshore: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Kootenay—Columbia: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in London North Centre: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Nanaimo—Ladysmith: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in North Island—Powell River: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Port Moody—Coquitlam: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Saskatoon—University: vote NDP
• Strategic voting in Winnipeg South Centre: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Waterloo: vote Liberal
• Strategic voting in Willowdale: vote Liberal