Thursday, October 08, 2015

Strategic voting in Edmonton Centre: vote NDP


The election of the Notley-NDP in Alberta was one of this year's biggest election stories. In Edmonton, however, the NDP has been strong for a long time.  Anne Duncan has turned Edmonton-Strathcona into one of the NDP's safest seats, and they are competitive in other adjacent ridings.

Strategic voting in Edmonton Centre
Strategic voting in Edmonton Centre
One of them is Edmonton Centre, which at one time was represented by Liberal Anne McLellan, and has been held by Conservative Laurie Hawn since 2006.  Hawn has retired and the seat is now open.

The ridings boundaries have been slightly redrawn, and the results of the last election in the boundaries (here) would be Con (46%), Lib. (24%), NDP (26%), Green (4%).

There have been several polls done within the riding in recent days.
These polls, combined with the NDP ground strength in Edmonton, suggest that the strategic voter in Edmonton Centre should vote NDP.

Update. Conservative James Cumming in Edmonton Centre tells voter to renounce his heritage.

Update 2.  A new poll shows NDP lead:

Strategic Edmonton-Centre
Strategic Edmonton-Centre