Recasting the votes of the last election onto the current boundaries, however, would have resulted in a very tight race in which the Conservatives won by just over 200 votes (link): Con (37.4%) / Lib (36.8%) / NDP (23.4%) / Green (2%).
Current polling gives the Liberals a distinct edge. A Forum poll (pdf) from Oct. 2 expressed support as Con (29%) / Lib (44%) / NDP (20%) / Green (5%).
Clearly strategic voters here should vote Liberal.
Update:
The withdrawal of the Conservative candidate renders this all moot. Vote your conscience.
Other posts:
Other posts: