Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: pledge

Strategic Tactical Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas
Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas
Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas is a newly formed riding that incorporates parts of the old Ancaster-Dundas-Flamorough-Westdale riding.

The rural polls of Flamborough were removed and joined with Glanborough to form a new riding. In the process of doing this, however, some 12,000 Conservative votes were moved out of the Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas.  In their place were added a good piece of the western mountain, which had in 2011 been solidly NDP.

If the votes from 2011 are redistributed in the new riding (see here), the result is CPC 40%, NDP 28%, Liberal 25%.  Given the recent campaign in Ontario where the Liberals are up and the NDP are down, who has the best chance of defeating the Conservatives? is collecting pledges from strategic voters and, once there are 500 pledges, they will crowd-fund a poll.  Strategic voters inHamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas are best advised to enter their pledge at, contribute to the crowdfunding if and when it is started, and vote strategically once more is known.

Update.  There is now a poll showing a Liberal lead.  See more here: Strategic Voting: Ham-West-Ancaster-Dundas: new poll.

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