Strategic voting in Edmonton Manning

Strategic voting in Edmonton Manning

Edmonton Manning is a new riding created out of parts of Edmonton-Sherwood Park, Edmonton East and Edmonton-St. Albert.

If the 2011 results of those three ridings were cast within the new riding boundaries, the results would be (link): Con (55%), NDP (27%), Lib (9%), Green (3%).

Those results should imply that the seat is relatively safe.  The results of the provincial election from last May, however, belie that assumption, since the NDP received a stunning 72.5% of the votes cast.

Recent polling suggests that the riding might still go Conservative.  An Environics poll from Sept. 16 suggests that strategic voting could make a difference.  It found that support in the riding was Con (45%), NDP (33%), Lib (18%), Green (4%).

Strategic voters in Edmonton-Manning, therefore, should vote NDP.

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