Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Strategic-voting in Mississauga-Malton: vote Liberal

Mississauga Malton is a new riding in Ontario, which encompasses parts of what used to be three ridings—Bramalea-Gore-Malton, Mississauga-Brampton South and Mississauga-Streetsville—all of which voted Conservative in the last election.

Recasting the votes of the last election onto the current boundaries, however, would have resulted in a very tight race in which the Conservatives won by just over 200 votes (link): Con (37.4%) / Lib (36.8%) / NDP (23.4%) / Green (2%).

Current polling gives the Liberals a distinct edge. A Forum poll (pdf) from Oct. 2 expressed support as Con (29%) / Lib (44%) / NDP (20%) / Green (5%).

Clearly strategic voters here should vote Liberal.